Annex 2 - Details of Economic and Fiscal Projections

Contents

Budget 2018 Economic and Fiscal Projections are detailed in this Annex in the following sections:

1. Private Sector Economic Projections

2. Economic and Fiscal Developments and Policy Actions since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement

2.1 Impact of Economic and Fiscal Developments since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement

2.2 Policy Actions since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement

2.3 Other Budget 2018 Measures (Not Included in Previous Chapters)

3. Fiscal Projections

3.1 Summary Statement of Transactions

3.2 Outlook for Budgetary Revenues

3.3 Outlook for Program Expenses

3.4 Financial Source/Requirement

4.Supplementary Information

4.1 Budget 2018 Investments by Department (Cash Basis)

4.2 Reconciliation of Budget 2018 Expenses with 2018–19 Planned Estimates

4.3 Sensitivity of Fiscal Projections to Economic Shocks

4.4 Update on Allocation of Infrastructure Investments

1. Private Sector Economic Projections

The average of private sector forecasts has been used as the basis for fiscal planning since 1994 and introduces an element of independence into the Government’s fiscal forecast. This practice has been supported by international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund.

The Department of Finance Canada regularly surveys private sector economists on their views on the outlook for the Canadian economy. The economic forecast presented in this section is based on a survey conducted in December 2017.

The December 2017 survey includes the views of 14 private sector economists:

Table A2.1
Average Private Sector Forecasts
per cent, unless otherwise indicated
  2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2017–
2022  
Real GDP growth              
  Budget 20171 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.8
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 1 3.0 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.0
  Budget 2018 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.0
GDP inflation              
  Budget 20171 2.2 2.0 1.8 2.1 2.0
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 1 2.4 1.9 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0
  Budget 2018 2.2 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.0
Nominal GDP growth              
  Budget 20171 4.3 4.0 3.5 3.8 3.8
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 1 5.5 4.1 3.4 3.7 3.6 3.8 4.0
  Budget 2018 5.2 4.0 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.8 4.0
Nominal GDP level (billions of dollars)              
  Budget 20171 2,120 2,205 2,282 2,369 2,459
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 1 2,146 2,234 2,311 2,397 2,483 2,577  
  Budget 2018 2,142 2,228 2,306 2,394 2,481 2,575  
  Difference between Budget 2017 and Budget 2018 22 23 24 25 22
  Difference between 2017 Fall Economic Statement and Budget 2018 -5 -6 -5 -3 -2 -2 -4
3-month treasury bill rate              
  Budget 2017 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.3
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.0
  Budget 2018 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.5 1.9
10-year government bond rate              
  Budget 2017 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.3
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 2.8
  Budget 2018 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 2.7
Exchange rate (US cents/C$)  
  Budget 2017 74.5 76.1 77.4 79.3 81.3
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 77.8 81.3 81.2 81.4 81.2 82.4 80.9
  Budget 2018 77.2 79.0 79.6 80.3 80.6 81.2 79.7
Unemployment rate              
  Budget 2017 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.4
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.3
  Budget 2018 6.4 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.1
  Consumer Price Index inflation              
  Budget 2017 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9
  Budget 2018 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9
U.S. real GDP growth              
  Budget 2017 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.9 2.0
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 2.2 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0
  Budget 2018 2.3 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.0
WTI crude oil price ($US per barrel)              
  Budget 2017 54 59 56 59 64
  2017 Fall Economic Statement 50 53 54 56 59 62 56
  Budget 2018 51 56 57 57 59 62 57
1 Figures have been restated to reflect the historical revisions to the Canadian System of National Accounts, which were published along with data for the third quarter of 2017, released on December 1, 2017.
Sources: For Budget 2017, Department of Finance Canada December 2016 survey of private sector economists; for the 2017 Fall Economic Statement, Department of Finance Canada September 2017 survey of private sector economists; for Budget 2018, Department of Finance Canada December 2017 survey of private sector economists; Statistics Canada.

2. Economic and Fiscal Developments and Policy Actions since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement

Table A2.2
Impact of Economic and Fiscal Developments and Policy Actions and Investments since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement
billions of dollars
  Projection
  2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
FES 2017 budgetary balance1 -19.9 -18.6 -17.3 -16.8 -13.9 -12.5
Adjustment for risk from FES 2017 1.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
FES 2017 budgetary balance (without risk adjustment) -18.4 -15.6 -14.3 -13.8 -10.9 -9.5
Economic and fiscal developments since FES 2017 3.0 3.6 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.8
Revised budgetary balance before policy actions and investments -15.4 -12.0 -10.3 -10.3 -8.1 -6.7
  Policy actions since FES 20172 2.4 2.2 -1.7 -1.6 -0.5 0.3
  Investments in Budget 2018            
    Growth 0.0 0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3
    Progress 0.0 -0.9 -1.2 -1.4 -1.4 -1.6
    Reconciliation -0.1 -1.4 -1.2 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6
    Advancement -4.2 -1.8 -1.3 -1.3 -1.2 -0.6
    Other Budget 2018 investments3 -2.1 -1.6 1.1 1.1 0.9 -0.4
  Total investments in Budget 2018 -6.3 -5.4 -2.6 -2.0 -2.2 -3.0
Total policy actions and investments since FES 2017 -4.0 -3.1 -4.3 -3.6 -2.7 -2.6
Budgetary balance -19.4 -15.1 -14.5 -13.9 -10.8 -9.3
Federal debt (per cent of GDP) 30.4 29.9 29.5 29.0 28.4 27.8
Adjustment for risk   -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0
Final budgetary balance (with risk adjustment) -19.4 -18.1 -17.5 -16.9 -13.8 -12.3
Federal debt (per cent of GDP) 30.4 30.1 29.8 29.4 28.9 28.4
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 A negative number implies a deterioration in the budgetary balance (lower revenues or higher spending). A positive number implies an improvement in the budgetary balance (higher revenues or lower spending).
2 Table A2.4 provides a detailed list of policy actions since FES 2017.
3 Table A2.5 provides a detailed list of other Budget 2018 investments.

2.1 Impact of Economic and Fiscal Developments since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement

Table A2.3
Economic and Fiscal Developments
billions of dollars
  Projection
  2017–
2018 
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
Economic and fiscal developments by component:
  Budgetary revenues            
  Income taxes 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 -0.2
  Excise taxes/duties 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.2
  Employment Insurance premiums -0.5 -0.4 -0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6
  Other revenues -1.7 -0.8 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.6
  Total -1.1 -0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.0
  Program expenses            
  Major transfers to persons 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
  Major transfers to other levels of government -0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2
  Direct program expenses 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.9
  Total 4.3 4.1 3.1 2.5 2.2 2.1
  Public debt charges -0.2 0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.3
Total economic and fiscal developments 3.0 3.6 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.8

Relative to the 2017 Fall Economic Statement, budgetary revenues are projected to be lower in 2017–18 and 2018–19 primarily as a result of a downward revision to projected revenues from consolidated Crown corporations (particularly the Canadian Commercial Corporation) in the other revenue category. Revenues are up slightly over the remainder of the forecast horizon, due largely to higher projected excise taxes and duties.

Relative to FES 2017, income tax revenues are expected to be higher over most of the projection horizon. In 2017–18, upward revisions to corporate income tax and non-resident income tax revenues—primarily reflecting year-to-date developments—result in an increase of $1.0 billion. Over the remainder of the forecast horizon, income tax revenues were revised up slightly by an average of $0.2 billion, per year.

Excise taxes and duties have been revised up relative to FES 2017 due to stronger-than-expected year-to-date fiscal results for customs and import duties and a projected strengthening in the taxable consumption base.

Employment Insurance (EI) premium revenues are projected to be lower than at the time of FES 2017. This is a result of the lower projected unemployment rate, which results in lower projected EI benefits and a projected decrease in the EI premium rate on a status quo basis (before Budget 2018 measures).

With respect to expenses, major transfers to persons are projected to be lower throughout the forecast horizon compared to FES 2017, as the improved labour market outlook leads to lower projected EI benefit expenses.

Major transfers to other levels of government are broadly similar to FES 2017 projections. The small increase in 2017–18 is due to a lower expected value for the Quebec Abatement. The increase in the last three years of the horizon reflects higher Territorial Formula Financing transfers compared to FES 2017.

Compared to FES 2017, direct program expenses are lower, reflecting lower projected expenses for consolidated Crown corporations (particularly the Canadian Commercial Corporation), year-to-date results (including lower bad debt expenses on tax receivables) and updated departmental outlooks. Partially offsetting this, expenses related to pensions and employee future benefits are higher, reflecting the actuarial loss on plan liabilities as a result of lower projected interest rates compared to FES 2017.

Public debt charges are higher in 2017–18 compared to FES 2017, as a decrease in expected returns on pension fund assets leads to higher interest expenses. In 2018–19 and 2019–20, public debt charges are lower as lower forecast interest rates more than offset higher pension fund interest expenses from lower expected returns. From 2020–21, increases to both pension fund interest expenses and higher financial requirements lead to increased public debt charges compared to FES 2017.

2.2 Policy Actions Announced since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement

Table A2.4
Policy Actions Announced since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement 1
millions of dollars
  2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
Total 
Reprofile of Infrastructure Programs -2,676 -2,198 1,316 1,387 258 -627 -2,541
Update of the spending profile of a number of infrastructure programs to ensure that the timing of federal infrastructure funding matches expected project spending by municipal, provincial and territorial governments, and that funding is available when it is needed while maintaining the Government's full financial commitment. See section 4.4 for a full update on the allocation of infrastructure investments.
Canada-China Year of Tourism 0 9 1 1 0 0 11
Funding for Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada to support activities such as hosting the closing ceremony for the Canada‑China Year of Tourism and working closely with Canadian businesses as they prepare to welcome an increased number of tourists from China.
Chair of the Open Government Partnership 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
Funding for the Treasury Board Secretariat in support of the Open Government Partnership, which aims to promote transparency, empower citizens, and harness new technologies to strengthen governance. 
Investing in Canada's Historic Parliamentary Buildings 8 12 8 13 22 13 75
  Less: Existing Departmental Resources -8 -16 -13 -19 -7 -9 -70
Funding for Public Services and Procurement Canada to continue the renovation of the historic and iconic Parliamentary Precinct.
Introducing a Taxation Regime for Cannabis 8 13 17 20 24 0 82
Funding for the Canada Revenue Agency to establish and administer the new excise taxation regime for cannabis.
First Nations Child and Family Services 33 0 0 0 0 0 33
​Funding for the Department of Indigenous Services Canada to improve services  for Indigenous children in care provided by the First Nations Child and Family Services Program.
Adult Upskilling Pilot Program 0 3 -4 -10 0 0 -11
Funding in support of the Canada Student Loans Program pilot project for adult learners announced in Budget 2017, amended to introduce: a top-up grant of $1,600 per year and a time limited regulatory change to allow student financial assistance applicants who experience a decline in income to be reassessed for Canada Student Grants (in addition to Canada Student Loans and other provincial and territorial assistance) based on their current year’s income.
Addressing Irregular Migration 11 0 0 0 0 0 11
Funding for Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada to address operational pressures resulting from irregular migration.
Emergency Management Assistance Program 128 0 0 0 0 0 128
Funding for Indigenous and Northern Affairs Canada to support the Emergency Management Assistance Program with the costs of response and recovery activities on reserve following an emergency event.   
Supporting the Responsiveness of the Social Security Tribunal 11 11 12 1 1 1 36
  Less: Projected Revenues -5 -6 -8 -3 -3 -3 -28
Funding for the Administrative Tribunal Support Service of Canada to address workload and program integrity pressures for the Social Security Tribunal.
Correctional Service of Canada 2 10 2 2 2 2 17
Funding provided to the Correctional Service of Canada to account for fluctuations in the everyday costs associated with correctional operations.
Supporting First Nations and Inuit Health 80 0 0 0 0 0 80
​Funding for the Department of Indigenous Services to maintain service levels under the Non-Insured Health Benefits Program and Indian Residential Schools Resolution Health Support Program.
2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels 2 86 146 180 208 236 857
  Less: Funds existing in the Fiscal Framework -4 -3 -2 -7 -16 -25 -56
Funding for Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada and partners to increase permanent resident admission targets from the 2017 level of 300,000 to 310,000 in 2018, 330,000 in 2019 and 340,000 in 2020. This funding will help Canada to meet its labour market needs while balancing commitments to reunite families and offer protection to those most in need.
Support for Fallen Public Safety Officers 0 24 24 23 23 23 117
  Less: Funds existing in the Fiscal Framework 0 -20 -20 -20 -20 -20 -100
​Funding for Public Safety Canada to support families of firefighters, police officers and paramedics that have fallen in the line of duty.
Improving Labour Standards in Free Trade Partner Countries 0 1 1 1 0 0 2
​Funding for Employment and Social Development Canada to increase capacity to monitor and enforce labour standards in free trade partner countries, which will help create a level playing field and protect Canadian workers and businesses from unfair competition.
First Nations Policing Program 0 21 31 41 46 51 189
Funding for Public Safety Canada to enable communities participating in the First Nations Policing Program to maintain their current level of service, given increasing costs of policing. This ongoing funding also provides an additional 110 police officer positions in Indigenous communities served under the program. 
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 205 381 2 2 2 2 594
​Funding for the delivery of logistics and security for Canada's 2018 G7 Presidency.  This will enable Canada to host a series of high-profile events across the country, including the G7 Leaders' Summit to be held in La Malbaie, Québec.
Security and Stabilization Capacity Building Efforts Under Operation IMPACT 23 37 0 0 0 0 60
  Less: Funds existing in the Fiscal Framework 0 -49 0 0 0 0 -49
  Less: Existing Departmental Resources 0 -12 0 0 0 0 -12
​Funding for National Defence to support Canada's efforts as a part of Operation IMPACT, the Global Coalition against Daesh in Iraq and Syria. This will allow Canada to support regional security and stabilization efforts in Jordan and Lebanon and to help build the capacity of the Iraqi Security Forces.
Global Affairs Canada Quasi-Statutory Adjustments 0 -28 -46 -46 -46 -46 -211
​Funding adjustments for Global Affairs Canada to reflect non-discretionary cost increases or savings for operation of missions abroad, such as those related to inflation and currency fluctuations.
China - Scholarships and Internships 0 1 1 1 1 1 4
​Funding for Global Affairs Canada to offer Canadian students internship and scholarship opportunities in China.  This will help to improve cultural ties between Canada and China and provide Canadian students with valuable experience.   
Labour Market Development Agreements 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
An adjustment of framework safeguards and conditions to allow provinces and territories to use up to 10 per cent of the additional funding provided in Budget 2017 towards administration.
(Net) fiscal impact of non-announced measures -180 -524 191 8 -16 68 -453
The net fiscal impact of measures that are not announced is presented at the aggregate level, and would include provisions for anticipated Cabinet decisions not yet made and funding decisions related to  national security, commercial sensitivity and litigation issues.
Net Fiscal Impact - Total Policy Actions Since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement -2,362 -2,247 1,657 1,573 479 -333 -1,233
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 The Government's spending plans are generally laid out in the annual budget. Due to operational reasons, some funding decisions may be required between budgets. All such "off-cycle" funding decisions taken since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement that are not discussed in the previous chapters are detailed in this table.

2.3 Other Budget 2018 Measures (Not Included in Previous Chapters)

Table A2.5
Other Budget 2018 Measures
millions of dollars
  2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
Total
Long-Term Sustainability of the Coast Guard Fleet 0 13 11 0 2 4 29
​Funding proposed for Fisheries and Oceans Canada for the Canadian Coast Guard to maintain existing fleet capabilities and enable forward planning for a sustainable future.
Gairdner Foundation 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Funding proposed for the Gairdner Foundation's activities, including far Canadian and international outreach efforts and to expand the diversity of recipients.
Modernizing the Canadian Transportation Agency 0 3 3 3 0 0 9
  Less: Existing Departmental Resources 0 -1 -1 -1 0 0 -3
Funding proposed for the Canadian Transportation Agency to support its modernization initiative. Over the next three years, the Agency will develop a cost recovery mechanism for its services.
Strengthening Airports Serving Remote Communities 0 0 0 1 2 2 5
Funding proposed to address urgent capital needs supporting the safe and continued operations of small airports owned and operated by the Government of Canada, which primarily serve remote and isolated communities. 
Marine Atlantic Inc. Vessel Refurbishment - - - - - - -
Funding proposed for Transport Canada for the refurbishment of Marine Atlantic Inc.'s aging vessel, the MV Leif Ericson. Funding amounts are not being released due to an upcoming procurement.
Modernizing VIA Rail Passenger Service 0 3 3 2 0 0 8
Funding proposed for Transport Canada to support the continued in-depth assessment of VIA Rail's high-frequency rail proposal for the Toronto-Quebec City corridor. 
Renewing VIA Rail's Fleet - - - - - - -
Funding proposed for Transport Canada to replace VIA Rail's cars and locomotives for use in the Windsor-Quebec City Corridor, ensuring that VIA Rail's rolling stock in the Corridor will remain safe and comfortable, and generate fewer greenhouse gas emissions. Funding amounts are not being released due to an upcoming procurement.
Protecting the Integrity of Transportation Infrastructure in Montreal 0 55 38 80 146 124 444
Funding proposed for Jacques Cartier and Champlain Bridges Incorporated to support the ongoing maintenance and rehabilitation of federally-owned bridges and other transportation infrastructure in the Montreal area. 
Public Service and Procurement Canada – Real Property Repairs and Maintenance 0 275 0 0 0 0 275
Additional funding proposed for the Federal Accommodation Program to provide office accommodation and related real property services to federal departments and agencies.
Maintaining Service Levels of the Controlled Goods Program 0 4 0 0 0 0 4
Funding proposed to maintain the Controlled Goods Program, which oversees the examination, possession and transfer of controlled goods (primarily defence weaponry) within Canada.
Service Income Security Insurance Plan and other Public Service Employee Benefits 623 554 511 0 0 0 1,688
Funding proposed to ensure the ongoing sustainability of the long-term disability benefits plan for medically-released members of the Canadian Armed Forces and for employer-related costs of other employee benefit programs, such as the Public Service Health Care Plan.
Additional Funding for the Office of the Commissioner of Lobbying 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Funding proposed for the Office of the Commissioner of Lobbying to relocate the offices and staff of the Commissioner upon the expiry of its current lease in 2019.
Public Service Centre on Diversity, Inclusion and Wellness 0 5 5 4 4 4 20
Funding proposed for the President of the Treasury Board to establish a Public Service Centre on Diversity, Inclusion and Wellness, to support departments and agencies in creating safe, healthy, diverse and inclusive workplaces.  Proposed funding includes ongoing funding of $3.6 million.
Strengthening Canada’s Food Safety System 0 16 16 16 0 0 47
Funding proposed to the Canadian Food Inspection Agency to support activities that help address food safety risks before they reach domestic consumers, including improving risk intelligence and oversight, offshore prevention activities, and improving compliance of international and domestic businesses to food safety regulations.
Securing Market Access for Canada’s Agriculture and Agri-food Products 0 6 6 6 6 6 29
Funding proposed to the Canadian Food Inspection Agency to support the negotiations of export conditions for agricultural, fishery and forestry products and certification of Canadian exports against other countries’ import requirements.
Sustainable Aquaculture Program 0 11 11 0 0 0 22
Funding proposed for Fisheries and Oceans Canada to renew the Sustainable Aquaculture Program for two years in support of an improved regulatory system. This funding will continue to support regulatory aquaculture science, work related to regulatory reform and governance, and public reporting on the environmental and economic performance of Canada's aquaculture sector.
Improving Access to the Digital Economy 0 5 5 5 5 5 27
Funding proposed for Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada to increase access to computers and promote the development of information and communication technology skills required for participation in the digital and knowledge-based economy.
Maintaining Rail Service to Remote Communities 0 11 0 0 0 0 11
Funding proposed for Transport Canada for the renewal of the Remote Passenger Rail Program.  This program helps support two passenger rail services, the Sept-Îles–Schefferville service in Quebec and Labrador, and the The Pas–Pukatawagan service in northern Manitoba.    
Strengthening Capacity for Environmental Assessments 0 1 1 0 0 0 2
Funding proposed for Transport Canada for the renewal of its participation in environmental assessments under the Northern Projects Management Office. 
Strengthening Motor Vehicle Safety 0 4 0 0 0 0 4
Funding proposed for Transport Canada to maintain safety oversight under the Canada Motor Vehicle Safety Act, to address emerging technologies and support the modernization of the Act.
Ensuring the Safe Operation of Tankers 0 3 3 3 0 0 10
Funding proposed for Transport Canada to continue to inspect 100 per cent of foreign-registered oil tankers on their first visit to Canada and once annually thereafter. 
Canada's Co-Chairmanship of the G-20 Framework Working Group 0 1 1 1 1 1 4
Funding proposed for the Department of Finance to support Canada's role as co-chair of the G20 Working Group for the Framework for Strong, Sustainable, Balanced and Inclusive Growth.   
The Office of the Auditor General 0 6 7 7 8 8 36
Additional proposed funding to the Office of the Auditor General in response to an increase in audit work resulting from a rise in the complexity and volume of government operations and transactions. Proposed funding includes ongoing funding of $8.3 million.
Rebalancing Elections Canada's Expenditures 0 3 11 12 12 12 51
       Less: Reduction in Statutory Authority 0 -3 -13 -15 -15 -15 -61
Funding proposed to rebalance Elections Canada's funding mix by increasing its annual appropriations and reducing amounts charged to its statutory authority. 
Reprofile of Indigenous Infrastructure Allocation 0 75 125 150 100 0 450
A modification of the funding profile of Budget 2017 investments is proposed to provide stable, long-term funding to support infrastructure in Indigenous communities
Renewal of Equalization and Territorial Formula Financing
Renewal of Equalization - - - - - - -
Renewal of Territorial Formula Financing 0 0 -2 -2 -2 -2 -7
Transition Payments to Territories 0 0 3 3 3 3 12
Proposed renewal of Equalization and Territorial Formula Financing (TFF) for a five-year period beginning April 1, 2019, with technical changes to improve the accuracy and efficiency of the calculation of entitlements and proposed transition payments of $1.3 million to Yukon and $1.7 million to the Northwest Territories from 2019–20 until 2023–24 to offset projected negative impacts of the changes on TFF entitlements over the course of the renewal period.  The Government intends to introduce legislation to implement the transfer renewal and transition payments to the territories.  Technical changes will be implemented through regulatory amendments.   
Funding to support the establishment of a National Council for Reconciliation 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
Funding proposed to support work to establish a National Reconciliation Council.
Finance Canada Analytical Capacity 0 2 2 2 2 2 8
Additional staff at the Department of Finance to support a new fiscal relationship with Indigenous Peoples.
Repurposing and Reprofiling of Funds for Drug-Impaired Driving Labs -1 -3 -1 0 1 0 -4
Funding adjustment for the Royal Canadian Mounted Police to support a revised approach to drug toxicology in support of Canada’s new drug-impaired driving regime.
(Net) fiscal impact of measures discussed in Tax Measures: Supplementary Information and Strengthening and Modernizing Canada’s Financial Sector (Annex 3) 0 7 23 37 62 93 222
(Net) fiscal impact of non-announced measures 1,443 516 -1,902 -1,432 -1,205 186 -2,392
The net fiscal impact of measures that are not announced is presented at the aggregate level, and would include provisions for anticipated Cabinet decisions not yet made and funding decisions related to national security, commercial sensitivity and litigation issues.
Net Fiscal Impact - Total Additional Budget 2018 Measures 2,066 1,572 -1,134 -1,117 -868 433 952
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

3. Fiscal Projections

3.1 Summary Statement of Transactions

Table A2.6
Summary Statement of Transactions
billions of dollars
    Projection
  2016–
2017  
2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
Budgetary revenues 293.5 309.6 323.4 335.5 348.0 362.1 373.9
Program expenses 287.2 304.6 312.2 321.5 331.5 340.7 350.1
Public debt charges 24.1 24.4 26.3 28.6 30.3 32.2 33.1
Total expenses 311.3 329.0 338.5 350.0 361.9 372.9 383.2
Adjustment for risk     -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0
Final budgetary balance -17.8 -19.4 -18.1 -17.5 -16.9 -13.8 -12.3
Financial position              
  Total liabilities 1,097.2 1,129.6 1,162.0 1,194.1 1,226.5 1,257.0 1,288.3
  Financial assets1 382.8 392.9 404.2 415.6 428.3 441.4 456.8
  Net debt 714.5 736.7 757.8 778.5 798.1 815.6 831.5
  Non-financial assets 82.6 85.3 88.2 91.4 94.2 97.8 101.4
Federal debt1 631.9 651.5 669.6 687.1 704.0 717.8 730.1
Per cent of GDP              
  Budgetary revenues 14.4 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.5
  Program expenses 14.1 14.2 14.0 13.9 13.8 13.7 13.6
  Public debt charges 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
  Budgetary balance -0.9 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5
  Federal debt 31.0 30.4 30.1 29.8 29.4 28.9 28.4
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 The projected level of financial assets for 2017–18 includes an estimate of other comprehensive income.

3.2 Outlook for Budgetary Revenues

Table A2.7
The Revenue Outlook
billions of dollars
  Projection
  2016–
2017  
2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
Income taxes  
  Personal income tax 143.7 152.3 161.4 168.6 175.2 182.8 190.0
  Corporate income tax 42.2 48.2 47.3 47.9 49.4 51.4 52.2
  Non-resident income tax 7.1 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.7 8.8 9.0
  Total income tax 193.0 208.6 217.0 225.0 233.2 243.0 251.2
Excise taxes/duties              
  Goods and Services Tax 34.4 36.5 37.7 39.2 40.6 42.0 43.5
  Customs import duties 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.7
  Other excise taxes/duties 11.5 11.6 12.1 12.3 12.5 12.7 12.8
  Total excise taxes/duties 51.3 53.7 55.4 56.7 58.4 60.2 62.0
Total tax revenues 244.3 262.3 272.3 281.7 291.6 303.2 313.2
Employment Insurance premium revenues 22.1 20.6 21.7 22.6 23.3 24.1 25.0
Other revenues  
  Enterprise Crown corporations 5.7 5.8 6.6 7.5 8.1 8.9 9.0
  Other programs 19.3 19.5 20.6 21.4 22.3 23.0 23.6
  Net foreign exchange 2.1 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2
  Total other revenues 27.1 26.8 29.4 31.3 33.1 34.8 35.8
Total budgetary revenues 293.5 309.6 323.4 335.5 348.0 362.1 373.9
Per cent of GDP  
  Personal income tax 7.1 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.4
  Corporate income tax 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0
  Goods and Services Tax 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
Total tax revenues 12.0 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2
Employment Insurance premium revenues 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Other revenues 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Total budgetary revenues 14.4 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.5
Note: Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

Table A2.7 sets out the Government’s projection for budgetary revenues. Overall, budgetary revenues are expected to increase by 5.5 per cent in 2017–18, reflecting strong economic growth and year-to-date results. Over the remainder of the forecast horizon, revenues are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 3.8 per cent, in line with projected growth in nominal GDP.

Personal income tax revenues—the largest component of budgetary revenues—are projected to increase by $8.6 billion, or 6.0 per cent, to $152.3 billion in 2017–18. The strong growth in 2017–18 reflects an improved economic outlook and the unwinding of the impact of tax planning that suppressed revenues in 2016–17, whereby high-income individuals recognized additional income in the 2015 tax year and lower income in the 2016 tax year when the 33 per cent tax bracket came into effect. Over the remainder of the projection period, personal income tax revenues are forecast to increase faster than growth in nominal GDP, averaging 4.5 per cent annually, reflecting the progressive nature of the income tax system combined with projected real income gains.

Corporate income tax revenues are projected to increase by $6.0 billion, or 14.2 per cent, to $48.2 billion in 2017–18, as a result of higher corporate profits and the associated strength in recent year-to-date financial results. Revenues are then expected to decline in 2018–19 by 1.8 per cent due in part to the reduction in the small business tax rate announced in the 2017 Fall Economic Statement as well as a projected dampening of corporate profits. Over the remainder of the projection period, corporate income tax revenues are expected to grow at an average annual rate of 2.5 per cent, less than the rate of growth in nominal GDP, reflecting the anticipated use of loss carry-forwards, and the reduction of the small business tax rate to 9 per cent.

Non-resident income tax revenues are income taxes paid by non-residents on Canadian-sourced income, notably dividends and interest payments. For 2017–18, non-resident income tax revenues are projected to increase by $1.1 billion, or 15.2 per cent, based on strong year-to-date results and an expected increase in dividend, investment and interest income from stronger corporate profits. Over the remainder of the forecast horizon, they are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.9 per cent.

Goods and Services Tax (GST) revenues are forecast to grow by 6.2 per cent in 2017–18 based on recent financial results and strong projected growth in taxable consumption over the rest of the year. Over the remainder of the projection period, GST revenues are forecast to grow by 3.6 per cent per year, on average, based on the outlook for taxable consumption.

Customs import duties are projected to grow 1.2 per cent, in 2017–18. Over the remainder of the projection horizon, annual growth in customs import duties is projected to slow to an average of 0.5 per cent, largely due to the expected coming into force of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership.

Other excise taxes and duties (OETD) are projected to increase by $0.1 billion, or 0.8 per cent, to $11.6 billion in 2017–18. OETD revenues are then expected to increase by 4.6 per cent in 2018–19, partially due to expected additional excise duty revenues from cannabis legalization. Over the remainder of the projection horizon, OETD revenues are expected to grow at an average annual rate of 1.3 per cent based on historical consumption trends.

EI premium revenues are projected to decline by 7.1 per cent in 2017–18 due to a reduction in the EI premium rate to $1.63 per $100 of insurable earnings as a result of the introduction of the seven-year break-even mechanism in 2017. EI premium revenues are then expected to increase in 2018–19 as the EI premium rate increases to $1.66 per $100 of insurable earnings for 2018 (as announced by the Canada Employment Insurance Commission). Over the remainder of the forecast horizon, EI premium revenues are expected to continue on their upward trend based on projected growth in insurable earnings and a projected EI premium rate for 2019 of $1.66 per $100 of insurable earnings, after taking into account new EI measures announced in Budget 2018.

Other revenues are made up of three broad components: net income from enterprise Crown corporations; other program revenues, particularly from consolidated Crown corporation revenues, returns on investments, proceeds from the sales of goods and services, and other miscellaneous revenues; and revenues in the Exchange Fund Account.

Enterprise Crown corporation revenues are projected to increase by 2.7 per cent in 2017–18, and grow at an average annual rate of 9.2 per cent over the remainder of the forecast horizon, generally reflecting the outlooks presented in respective enterprise Crown corporation corporate plans.

Other program revenues are affected by consolidated Crown corporation revenues, interest and exchange rate movements (which affect the Canadian-dollar value of foreign-denominated assets), and flow-through items that give rise to an offsetting expense and therefore do not impact the budgetary balance. These revenues are projected to increase by 1.2 per cent in 2017–18. Over the remainder of the projection period, other program revenues are projected to increase at an average annual rate of 3.9 per cent, reflecting the impact of higher interest rates and outlooks presented in consolidated Crown corporation corporate plans.

Net foreign exchange revenues, which consist mainly of returns on investments held in the Exchange Fund Account, are volatile and sensitive to fluctuations in foreign exchange rates and foreign interest rates. These revenues are expected to decrease in 2017–18, due in large part to a decrease in the expected return on assets held in the Exchange Fund Account. Over the remainder of the projection period, net foreign exchange revenues are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 16.6 per cent, reflecting a projected increase in interest rates and the anticipated appreciation of the Canadian dollar by private sector forecasters.

Employment Insurance Operating Account
Employment Insurance Operating Account Projections
billions of dollars
  2016–
2017  
  2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
   
EI premium revenues 22.1 20.6 21.7 22.6 23.3 24.1 25.0    
EI benefits1 20.7 20.1 20.7 21.7 22.5 23.3 24.0    
EI administration and other expenses2 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7    
  20163 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (…) 2025
EI Operating Account annual balance 1.6 -1.2 -0.4 -0.3 -0.5 -0.5 -0.3   0.5
EI Operating Account
cumulative balance
2.5 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 -0.3 -0.6   0.24
Projected premium rate
(per $100 of insurable earnings)
1.88 1.63 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66 1.66   1.66
1 EI benefits include regular EI benefits, sickness, maternity, parental, compassionate care, fishing and work sharing benefits, and employment benefits and support measures. These represent about 90 per cent of total EI program expenses.
2 The remaining EI costs relate mainly to administration and are included in direct program expenses.
3 Values for 2016 are actual data. Values for 2017 and future years are a projection.
4 The EI Operating Account cumulative balance does not reach exactly zero at the end of the seven-year period as projected EI rates are rounded to the nearest whole cent per $100 of insurable earnings, in accordance with the Employment Insurance Act.

The Employment Insurance Operating Account operates within the Consolidated Revenue Fund. As such, EI-related revenues and expenses that are credited and charged to the Account, respectively, in accordance with the Employment Insurance Act, are consolidated with those of the Government, and impact the budgetary balance. For consistency with the EI premium rate, which is set on a calendar-year basis with the objective of having the Account break even over time, the annual and cumulative balances of the Account are also presented on a calendar-year basis.

The EI Operating Account is expected to record an annual deficit of $1.2 billion in 2017, and a deficit of $0.4 billion in 2018, due to a reduction in the EI premium rate as a result of the seven-year break-even mechanism. The estimated seven-year break-even rate for 2019 is $1.66 per $100 of insurable earnings, unchanged from the 2018 premium rate. For fiscal planning purposes, an EI premium rate of $1.66 has been applied from 2019 onwards such that the EI Operating Account achieves cumulative balance by 2025.

3.3 Outlook for Program Expenses

Table A2.8
The Expense Outlook
billions of dollars
    Projection
  2016–
2017  
2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023  
Major transfers to persons              
  Elderly benefits 48.2 50.9 53.6 56.7 60.1 63.5 67.0
  Employment Insurance benefits1 20.7 20.1 20.7 21.7 22.5 23.3 24.0
  Children’s benefits 22.1 23.4 23.7 23.9 24.3 24.7 25.1
  Total 90.9 94.4 98.1 102.3 106.8 111.5 116.1
Major transfers to other levels of government              
  Canada Health Transfer 36.1 37.1 38.6 40.2 41.7 43.3 44.9
  Canada Social Transfer 13.3 13.7 14.2 14.6 15.0 15.5 15.9
  Equalization 17.9 18.3 19.0 19.8 20.5 21.3 22.1
  Territorial Formula Financing 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2
  Gas Tax Fund2 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3
  Home care and mental health 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.2
  Other fiscal arrangements3 -4.3 -4.7 -4.9 -5.3 -5.4 -5.6 -5.9
  Total 68.7 70.5 73.6 76.5 79.3 82.3 84.7
Direct program expenses             
  Transfer payments 41.6 44.1 47.5 50.4 52.4 52.0 52.0
  Operating expenses4 86.0 95.6 93.1 92.3 92.9 94.9 97.3
  Total 127.6 139.7 140.5 142.7 145.3 147.0 149.3
Total program expenses 287.2 304.6 312.2 321.5 331.5 340.7 350.1
Per cent of GDP      
  Major transfers to persons 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5
  Major transfers to other levels
of government
3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
  Direct program expenses 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.8
Total program expenses 14.1 14.2 14.0 13.9 13.8 13.7 13.6
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
1 EI benefits include regular EI benefits, sickness, maternity, parental, compassionate care, fishing and work-sharing benefits, and employment benefits and support measures. These represent about 90 per cent of total EI program expenses. The remaining EI costs relate mainly to administration and are part of operating expenses.
2 The Gas Tax Fund is a component of the Community Improvement Fund.
3 Other fiscal arrangements include the Youth Allowances Recovery; Alternative Payments for Standing Programs, which represent a recovery from Quebec of a tax point transfer; statutory subsidies; payments under the 2005 Offshore Arrangements; and established terms for repayable floor loans.
4 This includes capital amortization expenses.

Table A2.8 provides an overview of the projections for program expenses, on an accrual basis, by major component. A more detailed outlook for 2018–19 can be found in Table A2.12, which also provides a full reconciliation of the planned estimates and the budget outlook. Program expenses consist of major transfers to persons, major transfers to other levels of government and direct program expenses.

Major transfers to persons are projected to increase from $94.4 billion in 2017–18 to $116.1 billion in 2022–23. Major transfers to persons consist of elderly, EI and children’s benefits.

Elderly benefits, which are comprised of Old Age Security, Guaranteed Income Supplement and Allowance payments to qualifying seniors, are projected to grow from $50.9 billion in 2017–18 to $67.0 billion in 2022–23, or approximately 5.6 per cent per year. The expected increase in elderly benefits is due to projected consumer price inflation, to which benefits are fully indexed, and a projected increase in the population of seniors.

EI benefits are projected to be $20.1 billion in 2017–18. Over the remainder of the projection period, EI benefits are projected to grow moderately, averaging 3.6 per cent annually, reflecting growth in average weekly benefits.

Children’s benefits are projected to rise from $23.4 billion in 2017–18 to $25.1 billion in 2022–23, or approximately 1.4 per cent annually, largely reflecting the indexation of benefits beginning in 2018–19.

Major transfers to other levels of government, which include the Canada Health Transfer (CHT), the Canada Social Transfer (CST), Equalization, Territorial Formula Financing and the Gas Tax Fund, among others, are expected to increase over the forecast horizon, from $70.5 billion in 2017–18 to $84.7 billion in 2022–23.

The CHT is projected to grow from $37.1 billion in 2017–18 to $44.9 billion in
2022–23. The CHT grows in line with a three-year moving average of nominal GDP growth, with funding guaranteed to increase by at least 3.0 per cent per year. The CST is legislated to grow at 3.0 per cent per year. Gas Tax Fund payments are indexed at 2.0 per cent per year, with increases applied in $100 million increments. Announced in Budget 2017, home care and mental health transfers in support of provincial and territorial home care and mental health initiatives will grow from $0.3 billion in 2017–18 to $1.2 billion in 2022–23.

Direct program expenses are projected to rise to $139.7 billion in 2017–18 and further to $149.3 billion in 2022–23. Direct program expenses include transfer payments administered by departments and operating expenses.

The projected increase in direct program expenses is driven, in large part, by an increase in transfer payments administered by departments over the forecast horizon, including transfers to provincial, municipal and Indigenous governments and post-secondary institutions for investment in infrastructure. Overall, transfer payments are projected to increase from $44.1 billion in 2017–18 to $52.0 billion in 2022–23.

Operating expenses reflect the cost of doing business for more than 100 government departments, agencies and Crown corporations, and are projected to reach $95.6 billion in 2017–18, reflecting year-to-date results and the introduction of Pension for Life for veterans, which results in a significant one-time expense in 2017–18. From 2018–19 onwards, operating expenses are projected to grow by about 1.1 per cent annually, reaching $97.3 billion in
2022–23. The growth in operating expenses is composed of growth in departmental expenses, which is partially offset by falling expenses related to pensions and employee future benefits, reflecting the projected rise in long-term interest rates.

3.4 Financial Source/Requirement

The budgetary balance is presented on a full accrual basis of accounting, recording government revenues and expenses when they are earned or incurred, regardless of when the cash is received or paid.

In contrast, the financial source/requirement measures the difference between cash coming in to the Government and cash going out. This measure is affected not only by the budgetary balance, but also by the Government’s non-budgetary transactions. These include changes in federal employee pension liabilities; changes in non-financial assets; investing activities through loans, investments and advances; and changes in other financial assets and liabilities, including foreign exchange activities.

Table A2.9
The Budgetary Balance, Non-Budgetary Transactions and Financial Source/Requirement
billions of dollars
    Projection
  2016–
2017  
2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
2022–
2023   
Budgetary balance -17.8 -19.4 -18.1 -17.5 -16.9 -13.8 -12.3
Non-budgetary transactions              
  Pensions and other accounts 7.3 10.6 1.5 1.0 -0.9 -0.0 -1.0
  Non-financial assets -4.8 -2.7 -3.0 -3.2 -2.8 -3.7 -3.6
  Loans, investments and advances
    Enterprise Crown corporations -6.5 -4.5 -5.8 -6.8 -6.6 -6.1 -6.2
    Other 0.3 -0.6 -0.6 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8
    Total -6.2 -5.1 -6.4 -7.5 -7.4 -6.9 -7.0
  Other transactions              
    Accounts payable, receivable, accruals and allowances -0.8 -8.1 -8.1 -5.9 -4.4 -5.3 -4.7
    Foreign exchange activities -5.3 1.3 -0.7 -0.3 -1.5 -1.5 -4.4
    Total -6.0 -6.8 -8.8 -6.2 -6.0 -6.8 -9.1
Total -9.7 -4.1 -16.7 -15.8 -17.0 -17.4 -20.6
Financial source/requirement -27.5 -23.5 -34.8 -33.3 -33.9 -31.2 -32.9

As shown in Table A2.9, a financial requirement is projected over the entire forecast period. The projected financial requirements for 2017–18 to 2022–23 largely reflect requirements associated with the budgetary balance, increases in retained earnings of enterprise Crown corporations, and growth in other assets, including financing of the Exchange Fund Account.

A financial source is projected for pensions and other accounts for 2017–18 to 2019–20. Pensions and other accounts include the activities of the Government of Canada’s employee pension plans and those of federally appointed judges and Members of Parliament, as well as a variety of other employee future benefit plans, such as health care and dental plans, and disability and other benefits for veterans and others. The financial source for pensions and other accounts largely reflects adjustments for pension and benefit expenses not funded in the period.

Financial requirements for non-financial assets mainly reflect the difference between cash outlays for the acquisition of new tangible capital assets and the amortization of capital assets included in the budgetary balance. They also include disposals of tangible capital assets and changes in inventories and prepaid expenses. A net cash requirement of $3.0 billion is estimated for 2018–19.

Loans, investments and advances include the Government’s investments in enterprise Crown corporations, such as Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), Export Development Canada, the Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC) and Farm Credit Canada (FCC). They also include loans, investments and advances to national and provincial governments and international organizations, and for government programs. The requirements for enterprise Crown corporations projected from 2017–18 to 2022–23 reflect retained earnings of enterprise Crown corporations as well as the Government’s decision in Budget 2007 to meet all the borrowing needs of CMHC, BDC and FCC through its own domestic debt issuance. In general, loans, investments and advances are expected to generate additional revenues for the Government in the form of interest or additional net profits of enterprise Crown corporations, which partly offset debt charges associated with these borrowing requirements. These revenues are reflected in projections of the budgetary balance.

Other transactions include the payment of tax refunds and other accounts payable, the collection of taxes and other accounts receivable, the conversion of other accrual adjustments included in the budgetary balance into cash, as well as foreign exchange activities. Projected cash requirements associated with other transactions mainly reflect forecast increases in the Government’s official international reserves held in the Exchange Fund Account, as per the prudential liquidity plan, as well as projected growth in accounts receivable, in line with historical trends.

4. Supplementary Information

Budget and Estimates Alignment: Greater Clarity on Government Spending

In the Fall of 2016, the Government proposed reforms to the Estimates process to enhance transparency and accountability. In June 2017, the House of Commons agreed to change its Standing Orders so that the tabling of the Main Estimates for the next two years can take place in April rather than in February. This measure will help to ensure that more budget initiatives can be included in the Main Estimates on which Parliamentarians will vote.

In this spirit, to further improve transparency and accountability, this budget includes a detailed reconciliation between accrual expenses forecasted in Budget 2018 and the authorities to be reflected in the planned 2018–19 Estimates. Specifically, Budget 2018 includes: (i) a detailed summary table outlining Budget 2018 measures by department on a cash basis (Section 4.1); and (ii) a detailed table reconciling the Budget 2018 expense forecast with the planned 2018–19 Estimates (Section 4.2). 

4.1 Policy Actions and Budget Investments by Department (Cash Basis)

Table A2.10
Policy Actions since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement by Department
millions of dollars (cash basis)
2017–2018   2018–2019   2019–2020   2020–2021   2021–2022   2022–2023   Total (Cash)
Administrative Tribunals Support Service of Canada 13 13 11 0 0 0 37
Supporting the Responsiveness of the Social Security Tribunal 13 13 11 0 0 0 37
Canada Border Services Agency 2 25 59 25 24 22 158
Taking Action against Guns and Gangs 0 16 38 9 9 8 80
2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels 2 8 22 16 16 14 77
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
Canada Revenue Agency 19 34 34 36 39 0 162
Introducing a Taxation Regime for Cannabis 8 13 17 20 24 0 82
Federal Carbon Pollution Pricing Backstop 9 21 18 16 15 0 79
Stabilizing and Future Transformation of the Federal Government's Pay Administration (Phoenix) 2 0 0 0 0 0 2
Canadian Air Transport Security Authority 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency 0 22 44 63 65 65 259
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 22 44 63 65 65 259
Canadian Food Inspection Agency 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Canadian Security Intelligence Service 1 2 1 1 1 1 8
2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels 0 1 1 1 1 1 6
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 1 1 0 0 0 0 2
Correctional Service of Canada 2 10 2 2 2 2 17
Correctional Service of Canada 2 10 2 2 2 2 17
Department of Finance Canada 2 2 0 0 0 0 4
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 2 2 0 0 0 0 4
Employment and Social Development Canada 0 3 -2 -8 0 0 -7
Improving Labour Standards in Free Trade Partner Countries 0 1 1 1 0 0 2
Adult Upskilling Pilot Program 0 2 -2 -8 0 0 -8
Environment and Climate Change Canada -9 -12 1 8 9 24 21
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 10 19 24 24 24 100
Federal Carbon Pollution Pricing Backstop -9 -21 -18 -16 -15 0 -79
Fisheries and Oceans Canada 0 44 72 80 79 76 351
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 44 72 80 79 76 351
Global Affairs Canada 36 39 -44 -44 -44 -44 -100
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 35 65 0 0 0 0 100
Global Affairs Canada Quasi-Statutory Adjustments 0 -28 -46 -46 -46 -46 -211
Ensuring Rules-Based and Responsible Trade 1 1 1 1 1 1 7
China - Scholarships and Internships 0 1 1 1 1 1 4
Health Canada 3 12 8 8 8 8 46
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 8 8 8 8 8 38
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 3 4 0 0 0 0 8
Immigration and Refugee Board of Canada 0 1 1 2 2 2 7
2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels 0 1 1 2 2 2 7
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada 11 75 121 156 183 212 757
2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels 0 75 121 156 183 212 747
Addressing Irregular Migration 11 0 0 0 0 0 11
Indigenous Services Canada 241 0 0 0 0 0 241
Emergency Management Assistance Program 128 0 0 0 0 0 128
Supporting First Nations and Inuit Health 80 0 0 0 0 0 80
First Nations Child and Family Services 33 0 0 0 0 0 33
Infrastructure Canada -2,676 -2,198 1,316 1,463 258 -627 -2,465
Reprofile of Infrastructure Programs -2,676 -2,198 1,316 1,463 258 -627 -2,465
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada 0 10 1 1 0 0 11
Canada-China Year of Tourism 0 9 1 1 0 0 11
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
National Defence 33 51 0 0 0 0 84
Security and Stabilization Capacity Building Efforts Under Operation IMPACT 23 25 0 0 0 0 49
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 10 26 0 0 0 0 35
National Energy Board 0 9 12 12 12 11 56
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 9 12 12 12 11 56
Natural Resources Canada 0 16 20 18 16 15 86
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 16 20 18 16 15 86
Office of the Commissioner for Federal Judicial Affairs Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strengthening the Canadian Judiciary 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Public Health Agency of Canada 1 1 0 0 0 0 2
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 1 1 0 0 0 0 2
Public Safety Canada 19 124 59 95 114 133 545
Taking Action against Guns and Gangs 0 20 25 50 65 79 239
First Nations Policing Program 0 21 31 41 46 51 189
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 19 79 0 0 0 0 99
Support for Fallen Public Safety Officers 0 4 4 3 3 3 17
Public Services and Procurement Canada -4 -30 0 0 287 334 587
Investing in Canada’s Historic Parliamentary Buildings -100 -51 0 0 287 334 469
Stabilizing and Future Transformation of the Federal Government's Pay Administration (Phoenix) 84 0 0 0 0 0 84
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 12 22 0 0 0 0 34
Royal Canadian Mounted Police 126 138 7 8 9 9 297
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 126 133 0 0 0 0 259
Taking Action against Guns and Gangs 0 5 7 8 9 9 38
Shared Services Canada 16 33 6 6 6 6 72
2018 to 2020 Immigration Levels 0 15 6 6 6 6 38
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 16 18 0 0 0 0 34
Transport Canada 1 17 16 21 21 23 100
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 16 16 21 21 23 98
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 1 1 0 0 0 0 2
Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat 8 0 1 0 0 0 9
Stabilizing and Future Transformation of the Federal Government's Pay Administration (Phoenix) 8 0 0 0 0 0 8
Chair of the Open Government Partnership 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
Veterans Affairs Canada 0 67 -311 -323 -255 -196 -1,019
Support for Canada's Veterans1 0 67 -311 -323 -255 -196 -1,019
Allocation to be determined 0 28 3 -68 8 8 -21
Establishing Better Rules to Protect the Environment and Grow the Economy 0 3 3 8 8 8 30
Canada’s 2018 G7 Presidency and Leaders’ Summit 0 25 0 0 0 0 25
Reserved Green Infrastructure Funding 0 0 0 -76 0 0 -76
Total - Policy Actions Since the 2017 Fall Economic Statement -2,157 -1,464 1,439 1,560 842 84 304
1 As a result of offering a monthly Pension for Life beginning in 2019, benefit payments will be spread over the lifetime of veterans, rather than provided through a lump sum, resulting in lower near-term cash payments.
Table A2.11
Budget 2018 Measures by Department
millions of dollars (cash basis)
2017–2018   2018–2019   2019–2020   2020–2021   2021–2022   2022–2023   Total (Cash)
Administrative Tribunals Support Service of Canada 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ensuring Rules-Based and Responsible Trade 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency 0 8 5 3 2 10 28
Regional Development Agencies 0 8 8 8 8 8 39
A New Women Entrepreneurship Strategy 0 2 2 2 2 2 8
Protecting Jobs in Eastern Canada's Forestry Sector 0 -2 -4 -7 -7 0 -20
Canada Border Services Agency 0 154 57 21 17 18 266
Strengthening the Canada Border Services Agency 0 85 0 0 0 0 85
Safeguarding Canadians with an Enhanced Passenger Protect Program 0 9 26 15 11 12 73
Irregular Migration: Managing the Border 0 50 22 0 0 0 72
Addressing the Opioid Crisis 0 9 8 5 6 5 33
A Strong Sanctions Regime 0 1 1 1 0 0 3
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation 0 447 451 453 9 4 1,364
Building More Rental Housing for Canadian Families 0 447 451 453 9 4 1,364
Canada Revenue Agency 0 80 101 118 121 94 515
Cracking Down on Tax Evasion and Combatting Tax Avoidance 0 31 50 49 52 40 222
Improving Client Services at the Canada Revenue Agency 0 33 38 49 49 36 206
Combatting Aggressive International Tax Avoidance 0 5 6 9 10 9 39
Enhancing the Security of Taxpayer Information 0 7 6 6 6 5 30
Improving Access to the Canada Workers Benefit 0 0 1 5 5 5 15
Stabilizing and Future Transformation of the Federal Government's Pay Administration (Phoenix) 0 4 0 0 0 0 4
Canadian Air Transport Security Authority 0 241 0 0 0 0 241
Protecting Air Travelers 0 241 0 0 0 0 241
Canadian Food Inspection Agency 0 22 22 21 6 6 76
Strengthening Canada’s Food Safety System 0 16 16 16 0 0 47
Securing Market Access for Canada’s Agriculture and Agri-food Products 0 6 6 6 6 6 29
Canadian Heritage 0 105 145 148 133 133 663
Supporting Canada’s Official Languages 0 32 68 69 67 69 305
Investing in Canadian Content 0 15 29 43 43 43 172
Supporting Local Journalism 0 10 10 10 10 10 50
Strengthening Multiculturalism and Addressing the Challenges Faced by Black Canadians 0 15 15 3 0 0 32
Supporting Special Olympics 0 3 3 4 4 2 16
Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation 0 10 0 0 0 0 10
Indigenous Sport 0 10 10 10 10 10 48
More Women and Girls in Sport 0 10 10 10 0 0 30
Canadian Institutes of Health Research 0 57 76 94 113 113 453
Granting Councils 0 44 59 71 90 90 355
Canada Research Chairs 0 10 14 20 20 20 82
Supporting Those That Keep Our Communities Safe 0 3 3 3 3 3 15
Gairdner Foundation 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Canadian Judicial Council 0 2 2 0 0 0 4
Strengthening the Canadian Judiciary 0 2 2 0 0 0 4
Canadian Museum for Human Rights 0 4 8 8 6 7 33
Supporting the Canadian Museum for Human Rights 0 4 8 8 6 7 33
Canadian Northern Economic Development Agency 0 21 21 21 21 21 103
Renewal of Economic Development Funding for the Canadian Northern Economic Development Agency 0 20 20 20 20 20 100
Regional Development Agencies 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
A New Women Entrepreneurship Strategy 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Canadian Security Intelligence Service 0 3 0 6 10 10 28
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 0 0 6 10 10 26
Irregular Migration: Managing the Border 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
Investment Canada Act - National Security Review of Foreign Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Canadian Transportation Agency 0 3 2 1 0 0 6
Modernizing the Canadian Transportation Agency 0 3 2 1 0 0 6
Communications Security Establishment Canada 0 45 56 109 106 108 424
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 43 52 44 40 42 222
Preserving Canada's Foreign Signals Intelligence Capability 0 0 0 62 62 62 186
Enabling Digital Services to Canadians 0 2 4 3 3 3 16
Copyright Board of Canada 0 1 1 1 1 1 5
A New Intellectual Property Strategy 0 1 1 1 1 1 5
Correctional Service of Canada 0 80 5 4 5 6 99
Support for the Correctional Service of Canada and the Office of the Correctional Investigator of Canada 0 75 0 0 0 0 75
Further Improving Mental Health Supports for Inmates 0 3 3 4 5 6 20
Reopening the Penitentiary Farms at Joyceville and Collins Bay Institutions 0 2 1 0 0 0 4
Courts Administration Service 0 8 12 13 11 11 55
Supporting Canada's Courts System 0 6 11 12 9 9 47
A New Intellectual Property Strategy 0 3 1 1 1 1 8
Crown-Indigenous Relationship and Northern Affairs 0 337 173 82 90 93 776
New Fiscal Relationship: Collaboration with Self-Governing Indigenous Governments 0 189 0 0 0 0 189
New Fiscal Relationship – Strengthening First Nations Institutions and Community Capacity 0 71 81 13 12 11 189
Supporting the Expansion of the First Nations Land Management Act and the Successful Participation of First Nations Under the Act 0 15 21 29 37 41 143
Helping Indigenous Nations Reconstitute 0 20 20 20 20 20 102
Permanent Bilateral Mechanisms 0 13 16 16 16 16 75
Supporting the Recognition of Rights and Self-Determination 0 22 30 0 0 0 51
POLAR Knowledge Canada 0 0 6 5 5 5 21
Supporting the Gord Downie and Chanie Wenjack Fund 0 5 0 0 0 0 5
Funding to support the establishment of a National Council for Reconciliation 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
Department of Finance Canada 0 3 6 6 6 6 25
Transition Payments to Territories 0 0 3 3 3 3 12
Finance Canada Analytical Capacity 0 2 2 2 2 2 8
Canada's Co-Chairmanship of the G-20 Framework Working Group 0 1 1 1 1 1 4
Evidence-Based Policy 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Economic Development Agency of Canada for the Regions of Québec 0 20 20 20 20 20 99
Regional Development Agencies 0 15 15 15 15 15 77
A New Women Entrepreneurship Strategy 0 4 4 4 4 4 22
Elections Canada 0 -1 -2 -3 -3 -3 -10
Rebalancing Elections Canada's Expenditures 0 -1 -2 -3 -3 -3 -10
Employment and Social Development Canada 0 308 797 694 620 638 3,057
Supporting Equal Parenting and the Flexibility for Earlier Returns to Work 0 4 257 310 320 332 1,223
Making Employment Insurance More Responsive and Effective 0 131 223 75 76 78 582
Canada Summer Jobs 2019-20 0 2 112 112 112 112 449
Indigenous Skills and Employment Training Program 0 66 93 93 96 99 447
Employment Insurance Call Centre Accessibility 0 43 43 43 0 0 128
Predictable Funding for Employment Insurance Service Delivery 0 30 30 30 0 0 90
Pre-apprenticeship Program 0 6 10 10 10 10 46
Ensuring a Workplace Free of Violence and Harassment 0 6 7 7 7 7 35
Supporting Canada’s Official Languages 0 4 5 5 5 5 25
Improving Access to the Canada Child Benefit and other Benefits 0 5 6 6 0 0 17
Protecting Temporary Foreign Workers 0 3 5 7 0 0 15
Evidence-Based Policy 0 4 3 2 2 2 12
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 3 3 3 0 0 8
Pay Transparency 0 1 2 0 0 0 5
2021 Census of Population and Census of Agriculture 0 0 0 -8 -8 -8 -24
Environment and Climate Change Canada 0 71 183 201 201 198 854
Protecting Canada's Nature, Parks and Wild Spaces 0 53 154 166 169 165 706
Adapting Canada's Weather and Water Services to Climate Change 0 16 25 31 32 26 131
Protecting Marine Life 0 2 4 4 4 3 17
Pricing Carbon Pollution and Supporting Clean Growth 0 0 0 0 -4 4 0
FedDev Ontario 0 55 189 214 214 214 885
Renewal of Base Funding for the Federal Economic Development Agency for Southern Ontario 0 25 159 184 184 184 736
Regional Development Agencies 0 23 23 23 23 23 116
A New Women Entrepreneurship Strategy 0 7 7 7 7 7 33
FedNor 0 6 6 6 6 6 28
Regional Development Agencies 0 4 4 4 4 4 22
A New Women Entrepreneurship Strategy 0 1 1 1 1 1 6
Fisheries and Oceans Canada 0 217 169 47 43 43 519
Renewing Canada’s Network of Small Craft Harbours 0 150 100 0 0 0 250
Protecting Canada's Nature, Parks and Wild Spaces 0 21 29 32 36 36 155
Long-Term Sustainability of the Coast Guard Fleet 0 28 22 8 0 0 58
Protecting Marine Life 0 7 7 7 7 7 35
Sustainable Aquaculture Program 0 11 11 0 0 0 22
Global Affairs Canada -3 223 387 460 560 672 2,297
Additional Support for the Feminist International Assistance Policy Agenda 0 160 327 400 500 613 2,000
Ensuring Rules-Based and Responsible Trade 0 36 36 36 36 36 179
Pursuing New Markets 0 15 15 15 15 15 75
A Strong Sanctions Regime 0 4 4 4 4 4 20
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 3 3 3 3 3 16
Canadian Technology Accelerators Program 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
A New Women Entrepreneurship Strategy 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Renewing and Modernizing Statistics Canada -3 0 -2 -2 -2 -3 -12
Health Canada 0 182 40 37 35 34 327
Addressing the Opioid Crisis 0 154 10 5 4 3 176
Cannabis Public Education 0 18 16 16 16 16 83
Renewing and Enhancing the Federal Tobacco Control Strategy 0 7 11 12 11 11 52
Supporting Canada’s Official Languages 0 3 3 3 4 4 17
Immigration and Refugee Board of Canada 0 39 34 0 0 0 74
Irregular Migration: Managing the Border 0 39 34 0 0 0 74
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada 0 86 63 58 46 45 298
Protecting Temporary Foreign Workers 0 42 36 35 34 33 180
Supporting Canada’s Official Languages 0 5 5 10 10 10 41
Getting Into and Staying in the Workforce and Career Pathways for Visible Minority Newcomer Women in Canada 0 11 11 11 0 0 32
Protecting Vulnerable Women and Girls 0 10 8 1 1 1 20
Irregular Migration: Managing the Border 0 17 0 0 0 0 17
Expanding the Diversity of Entrepreneurs 0 1 3 1 1 1 7
Indigenous Services Canada 70 1,039 1,078 794 612 463 4,057
Indigenous Health: Keeping Families Healthy in Their Communities 0 408 479 239 211 154 1,491
Ensuring That Indigenous Children Are Safe and Supported Within Their Communities 70 295 270 265 270 278 1,449
Reprofile of Indigenous Infrastructure Allocation 0 75 125 150 100 0 450
Increased Health Support for Survivors of Indian Residential Schools and their Families 0 78 83 88 0 0 249
Clean and Safe Drinking Water On Reserve 0 102 50 21 0 0 173
Support for Distinctions-Based Housing Strategies 0 25 25 31 31 31 144
Creating a More Responsive Income Assistance Program That Addresses the Needs of First Nations Communities 0 43 44 0 0 0 87
Supporting Métis Nation Priorities 0 10 0 0 0 0 10
Renewing the Matrimonial Real Property Implementation Support Program 0 3 3 0 0 0 6
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada 0 125 219 349 397 546 1,637
Investing in the Equipment Researchers Need - Canadian Foundation for Innovation 0 32 62 120 183 366 763
Harnessing Big Data 0 64 64 166 145 133 572
Supporting The Next Generation of Rural Broadband 0 10 20 20 25 25 100
A New Intellectual Property Strategy 0 6 36 5 5 4 56
Centre for Drug Research and Development 0 0 16 16 16 0 48
Improving Access to the Digital Economy 0 5 5 5 5 5 27
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 5 5 5 5 5 26
Institute for Quantum Computing 0 0 5 5 5 0 15
Innovation Canada 0 2 3 3 3 3 14
Council of Canadian Academies 0 0 0 3 3 3 9
Increasing Diversity in Science 0 2 3 1 1 1 6
Advancing Women Business Leaders 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Jacques Cartier and Champlain Bridge Incorporated 0 91 0 147 179 200 616
Protecting the Integrity of Transportation Infrastructure in Montreal 0 91 0 147 179 200 616
Justice Canada 0 25 28 29 29 30 142
Expanding Unified Family Courts 0 0 13 14 14 15 56
Providing Legal Support to Victims of Sexual Harassment in the Workplace 0 8 11 11 11 11 50
Addressing Demand for Immigration and Refugee Legal Aid 0 13 0 0 0 0 13
Strengthening the Canadian Judiciary 0 2 2 3 3 3 13
Enhancing Canadians' Access to Justice 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Library and Archives Canada 0 4 12 18 19 18 71
A New Partnership between Library and Archives Canada and the Ottawa Public Library 0 4 12 18 19 18 71
National Capital Commission 0 13 42 0 0 0 55
Revitalizing National Capital Commission Assets 0 13 42 0 0 0 55
National Defence 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Taking Action to Prevent and Address Gender-based Violence, Harassment and Discrimination 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
National Research Council Canada 0 208 258 258 258 258 1,240
Industrial Research Assistance Program 0 100 150 150 150 150 700
National Research Council 0 108 108 108 108 108 540
Natural Resources Canada 0 16 22 27 30 6 102
Protecting Jobs in Eastern Canada's Forestry Sector 0 11 17 22 25 1 75
Ensuring Rules-Based and Responsible Trade 0 2 2 2 2 2 12
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Protecting Canada's Nature, Parks and Wild Spaces 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Canada 0 77 106 123 143 143 592
Granting Councils 0 44 59 71 90 90 355
College and Community Innovation Program 0 20 30 30 30 30 140
Canada Research Chairs 0 10 14 20 20 20 82
Increasing Diversity in Science 0 3 3 3 3 3 15
Office of the Auditor General 0 8 8 8 8 8 41
The Office of the Auditor General 0 8 8 8 8 8 41
Office of the Commissioner for Federal Judicial Affairs Canada 0 2 2 1 1 1 7
A New Intellectual Property Strategy 0 1 1 1 1 1 5
Strengthening the Canadian Judiciary 0 1 1 0 0 0 2
Office of the Commissioner of Canada Elections 0 1 2 2 2 2 7
Upholding the Integrity of Canada's Elections 0 1 2 2 2 2 7
Office of the Commissioner of lobbying 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Additional Funding for the Office of the Commissioner of Lobbying 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Office of the Correctional Investigator 0 1 1 1 1 1 3
Support for the Correctional Service of Canada and the Office of the Correctional Investigator of Canada 0 1 1 1 1 1 3
Office of the Information Commissioner 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
Enhancing Canadians' Access to Justice 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
Office of the Registrar of the Supreme Court of Canada 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Supporting Canada's Courts System 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Parks Canada 0 25 38 47 45 45 200
Protecting Canada's Nature, Parks and Wild Spaces 0 24 36 42 42 42 185
Supporting Indigenous History and Heritage 0 1 3 5 3 3 15
Privy Council Office 0 1 5 0 0 0 6
A New Process for Federal Election Leaders’ Debates 0 1 5 0 0 0 6
Public Health Agency of Canada 0 103 30 31 30 30 223
Supporting a Healthy Seniors Pilot Project in New Brunswick 0 75 0 0 0 0 75
Taking Action to Prevent and Address Gender-based Violence, Harassment and Discrimination 0 6 6 6 6 7 31
Supporting ParticipACTION 0 5 5 5 5 5 25
A Community-Based Approach to Dementia 0 4 4 4 4 4 20
Support for Canadians Impacted by Autism Spectrum Disorder 0 5 4 4 4 4 20
Addressing the Opioid Crisis 0 3 4 4 3 2 16
Strengthening Multiculturalism and Addressing the Challenges Faced by Black Canadians 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Supporting Canada’s Official Languages 0 1 2 2 2 2 10
Renewing and Enhancing the Federal Tobacco Control Strategy 0 1 1 2 2 3 10
Indigenous Health: Keeping Families Healthy in Their Communities 0 1 1 1 1 1 6
Public Safety Canada 0 19 17 17 17 17 88
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 5 5 5 5 5 25
Supporting Those That Keep Our Communities Safe 0 2 3 3 3 3 15
National Human Trafficking Hotline 0 3 3 3 3 3 15
Renewing and Enhancing the Federal Tobacco Control Strategy 0 2 2 2 3 3 12
Safeguarding Canadians with an Enhanced Passenger Protect Program 0 2 2 2 2 2 9
Addressing the Opioid Crisis 0 1 1 1 1 1 6
Taking Action to Prevent and Address Gender-based Violence, Harassment and Discrimination 0 1 1 1 1 1 5
Critical Infrastructure Security 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
Investment Canada Act - National Security Review of Foreign Investments 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
Public Services and Procurement Canada 0 653 236 196 1,235 1,264 3,584
Renewing Federal Laboratories 0 16 152 156 1,212 1,242 2,778
Stabilizing and Future Transformation of the Federal Government's Pay Administration (Phoenix) 0 307 19 4 0 0 330
Public Service and Procurement Canada – Real Property Repairs and Maintenance 0 275 0 0 0 0 275
Simpler and Better Procurement 0 52 64 36 23 22 197
Maintaining Service Levels of the Controlled Goods Program 0 4 0 0 0 0 4
Royal Canadian Mounted Police -1 159 77 76 79 67 458
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 38 44 49 49 43 224
Supporting RCMP Frontline Operations 0 105 19 15 17 10 166
Supporting Those That Keep Our Communities Safe 0 3 5 5 5 5 21
Taking Action to Prevent and Address Gender-based Violence, Harassment and Discrimination 0 2 3 4 5 6 19
Addressing "Unfounded" Cases of Sexual Assault and Better Supporting Victims 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Irregular Migration: Managing the Border 0 10 0 0 0 0 10
Renewing and Enhancing the Federal Tobacco Control Strategy 0 1 1 1 2 2 7
RCMP Cannabis Labs Repurposing -1 -2 3 0 1 0 1
Shared Services Canada 0 289 497 496 364 367 2,013
Enabling Digital Services to Canadians 0 278 479 482 357 363 1,960
2021 Census of Population and Census of Agriculture 0 5 13 8 5 2 32
Renewing and Modernizing Statistics Canada 0 6 5 5 2 3 21
Protecting Temporary Foreign Workers 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada 0 100 128 165 190 190 772
New Tri-Council Fund 0 35 45 65 65 65 275
Research Support Fund 0 29 39 46 59 59 231
Granting Councils 0 27 36 43 55 55 216
Canada Research Chairs 0 6 8 11 11 11 46
Strengthening Indigenous Data and Research Capability 0 4 0 0 0 0 4
Standards Council of Canada 0 4 2 2 2 2 13
A New Intellectual Property Strategy 0 2 2 2 2 2 11
Ensuring Security and Prosperity in the Digital Age 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
Statistics Canada 0 58 86 196 389 81 811
2021 Census of Population and Census of Agriculture 0 48 73 184 378 69 752
Renewing and Modernizing Statistics Canada 0 7 8 7 6 7 35
Evidence-Based Policy 0 1 1 1 1 1 7
Placing Evidence at the Centre of Program Evaluation and Design 0 1 1 1 1 1 5
Strengthening Indigenous Data and Research Capability 0 0 1 1 1 1 4
Supporting Canada’s Official Languages 0 1 1 1 1 1 3
Implementing the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda 0 1 1 1 1 1 3
Addressing the Opioid Crisis 0 1 0 0 0 0 2
Status of Women Canada 0 24 29 39 39 39 169
Supporting Community Women's Organizations 0 10 15 25 25 25 100
Taking Action to Prevent and Address Gender-based Violence, Harassment and Discrimination 0 6 6 6 6 6 29
Evidence-Based Policy 0 5 5 5 5 5 25
A National Conversation on Gender Equality With Young Canadians 0 2 1 2 2 2 8
Improving Support for Sexual Assault Crisis Centres on Campuses 0 1 1 1 1 1 6
Engaging Men and Boys to Promote Gender Equality 0 1 1 0 0 0 2
Transport Canada 0 60 38 41 19 16 174
Protecting Marine Life 0 26 18 16 12 13 85
Strengthening Airports Serving Remote Communities 0 9 10 17 5 0 41
Safeguarding Canadians with an Enhanced Passenger Protect Program 0 3 3 3 3 3 13
Maintaining Rail Service to Remote Communities 0 11 0 0 0 0 11
Ensuring the Safe Operation of Tankers 0 3 3 3 0 0 10
Modernizing VIA Rail Passenger Service 0 3 3 2 0 0 8
Strengthening Motor Vehicle Safety 0 4 0 0 0 0 4
Strengthening Capacity for Environmental Assessments 0 1 1 0 0 0 2
Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat 623 591 550 29 26 26 1,844
Service Income Security Insurance Plan and other Public Service Employee Benefits 623 554 511 0 0 0 1,688
Enabling Digital Services to Canadians 0 10 20 20 20 20 90
Stabilizing and Future Transformation of the Federal Government's Pay Administration (Phoenix) 0 15 8 0 0 0 23
Public Service Centre on Diversity, Inclusion and Wellness 0 5 5 4 4 4 20
Modernizing Canada’s Regulatory Framework 0 4 4 3 0 0 11
Placing Evidence at the Centre of Program Evaluation and Design 0 2 2 2 2 2 10
Horizontal Skills Review 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
Veterans Affairs Canada 0 26 26 5 5 5 67
Better Services for Veterans 0 21 21 0 0 0 43
Cemetery and Grave Maintenance 0 5 5 5 5 5 24
Western Economic Diversification Canada 0 43 43 43 43 37 208
Regional Development Agencies 0 30 30 30 30 30 149
Rick Hansen Institute 0 6 6 6 6 0 24
A New Women Entrepreneurship Strategy 0 7 7 7 7 7 35
Allocation to be determined 0 -72 -197 -306 -186 -126 -887
Protecting Canada's Nature, Parks and Wild Spaces 0 0 0 0 120 180 300
Stabilizing and Future Transformation of the Federal Government's Pay Administration (Phoenix) 0 25 0 0 0 0 25
Implementing the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda 0 3 3 3 3 3 16
2021 Census of Population and Census of Agriculture 0 0 0 -9 -9 -9 -28
Enabling Digital Services to Canadians-Funding Sourced From Existing Departmental Resources 0 -100 -200 -300 -300 -300 -1,200
Total - Budget 2018 Measures 690 6,521 6,416 5,676 6,375 6,240 31,917
Net adjustment to be on a 2018-19 Estimates Basis - 520 - - - - -
Total (2018-19 on an Estimates Basis) - 7,040 - - - - -

4.2 Reconciliation of Budget 2018 Expenses with 2018–19 Planned Estimates

Under this reconciliation, the accrual expense forecast is decomposed into eight building blocks beginning with Planned Estimates authorities, Budget 2018 measures, additional Estimates authorities for which Parliamentary approval may be sought later in the fiscal year, amounts forecasted to remain unspent or carried forward from total authorities, further spending financed by departmental revenues, spending-like programs delivered through the tax system, and remaining accrual and consolidation adjustments required to put the forecast on the same accounting basis as the Public Accounts of Canada Volume I. These building blocks are consistent with concepts and definitions used in the Public Accounts of Canada Volume II.

Table A2.12
Reconciliation of Budget 2018 Expenses with the 2018–19 Planned Estimates
billions of dollars
  (1)  (2) (3) (4) (5)
  Planned Estimates Budget 2018 measures Other anticipated authorities Unspent/
carried forward
Net expenditures
Direct program expenses of large departments
  National Defence 20.4 0.0 0.8 (0.9) 20.2
  Indigenous Services Canada 9.3 1.3 0.7 (0.3) 11.0
  Employment and Social Development Canada 7.2 0.0 0.4 (0.1) 7.5
  Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat 6.6 0.6 (2.1) (1.6) 3.4
  Global Affairs Canada 6.5 0.7 0.2 (0.3) 7.2
  Canada Revenue Agency 4.2 0.1 0.3 (0.3) 4.3
  Infrastructure Canada 4.0 0.0 0.4 (0.6) 3.8
  Royal Canadian Mounted Police 3.5 0.2 0.2 (0.1) 3.8
  Public Services and Procurement Canada 3.2 0.7 0.6 (0.6) 3.9
  Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada 3.1 0.3 0.7 (0.3) 3.8
  Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada 2.9 0.1 0.2 (0.4) 2.8
  Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada 2.5 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 2.4
  Fisheries and Oceans Canada 2.4 0.2 1.0 (0.3) 3.4
  Correctional Service Canada 2.4 0.1 0.2 (0.1) 2.7
  Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada 2.3 0.1 1.4 (1.2) 2.6
  Canada Border Services Agency 1.8 0.2 0.3 (0.1) 2.1
  Transport Canada 1.5 0.1 0.1 (0.2) 1.5
  Environment and Climate Change Canada 1.5 0.1 0.1 (0.1) 1.6
  Natural Resources Canada 1.5 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 1.3
  Health Canada 1.4 0.2 0.1 (0.0) 1.6
  Canadian Heritage 1.3 0.1 0.0 (0.0) 1.4
  Public Safety Canada 1.2 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 1.2
  Department of Finance Canada 0.7 0.0 0.1 (0.1) 0.7
Sub-total 91.4 5.0 5.7 (7.8) 94.3
  Consolidated Crown Corporations 5.0 0.4 0.0 (0.4) 4.9
  Other direct program expenses 22.5 1.7 3.4 (1.5) 26.1
Total direct program expenses 118.9 7.0 9.2 (9.8) 125.3
  Major transfers 127.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 127.1
  Public debt charges 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.8
Total expenses 268.8 7.0 9.2 (9.8) 275.3
  (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
  Net expenditures Netted revenues Tax credits & repayments Accrual & consolidation adjustments Budget expense forecast
Direct program expenses of large departments
  National Defence 20.2 0.3 0.0 5.0 25.5
  Indigenous Services Canada 11.0 0.2 0.0 (0.2) 11.0
  Employment and Social Development Canada 7.5 1.9 0.0 (0.1) 9.3
  Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat 3.4 0.7 0.0 (1.1) 3.1
  Global Affairs Canada 7.2 0.0 0.0 (0.5) 6.7
  Canada Revenue Agency 4.3 0.4 3.4 3.0 11.0
  Infrastructure Canada 3.8 0.0 0.0 (1.0) 2.8
  Royal Canadian Mounted Police 3.8 1.9 0.0 0.3 6.0
  Public Services and Procurement Canada 3.9 3.2 0.0 (3.6) 3.5
  Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada 3.8 0.0 0.0 (1.2) 2.6
  Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada 2.8 0.3 0.0 (0.3) 2.8
  Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada 2.4 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 2.4
  Fisheries and Oceans Canada 3.4 0.0 0.0 (1.3) 2.1
  Correctional Service Canada 2.7 0.1 0.0 (0.4) 2.4
  Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada 2.6 0.4 0.0 (0.2) 2.8
  Canada Border Services Agency 2.1 0.0 0.0 (0.2) 1.9
  Transport Canada 1.5 0.1 0.0 (0.1) 1.5
  Environment and Climate Change Canada 1.6 0.1 0.0 (0.1) 1.5
  Natural Resources Canada 1.3 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 1.3
  Health Canada 1.6 0.1 0.0 (0.2) 1.6
  Canadian Heritage 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
  Public Safety Canada 1.2 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 1.1
  Department of Finance Canada 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
Sub-total 94.3 9.7 3.4 (2.4) 105.0
  Consolidated Crown Corporations 4.9 0.0 0.0 3.9 8.8
  Other direct program expenses 26.1 0.9 0.0 (0.2) 26.7
Total direct program expenses 125.3 10.6 3.4 1.3 140.5
  Major transfers 127.1 0.0 23.7 20.8 171.7
  Public debt charges 22.8 0.0 0.0 3.5 26.3
Total expenses 275.3 10.6 27.1 25.6 338.5
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

1. Planned Estimates

The Estimates reflect authorities approved in previous budgets and confirmed by Treasury Board for all organizations that receive a voted appropriation from Parliament. The Estimates also include, for information, forecasts of spending under most statutory authorities previously provided by Parliament.

The Estimates are presented on a modified cash basis of accounting.  Figures are net of certain revenues collected by departments, which departments can re-spend to reduce the level of appropriations sought from Parliament.

The Estimates are designed primarily to support Parliament’s scrutiny of the portion of government spending that requires annual approval through the appropriation acts. As such, they exclude several programs where authorities and reporting to Parliament are established under separate regimes, most notably the Employment Insurance Operating Account and programs delivered through the tax system.

Estimates include both budgetary authorities (for expenditures which impact the income statement) and non-budgetary authorities (for balance sheet transactions). As the objective in this reconciliation table is to identify transactions and adjustments that affect accrual expenses, the Planned Estimates column includes only budgetary authorities.

2. Budget 2018 measures

This column is based on the Budget 2018 measures by department (cash basis) in Table A2.11, adjusted to follow the same accounting and presentational conventions as the Estimates (for example, as discussed above, amounts related to the Employment Insurance Operating Account do not flow through the Estimates). 

Measures affecting departments other than the 23 identified in the table are grouped in the “Other direct program expenses” row.

3. Other anticipated authorities

This category captures a range of forecasted authorities for measures and mechanisms that have been approved in principle off cycle or in previous budgets, or that have already been authorized under existing legislation, and that are expected to appear in a Supplementary Estimates or the Public Accounts.

For example, a revolving fund or a department with multi-year appropriations may have authority to carry forward unspent authorities from 2017–18 into 2018–19, but that amount cannot be confirmed until the audited financial results for 2017–18 become available.

Similarly, the Treasury Board manages several central votes for carry-forwards, certain eligible personnel expenditures and other contingencies that are initially presented under Treasury Board Secretariat and subsequently allocated to departments throughout the year as departments meet eligibility requirements.

Another common reason authorities are not sought until a Supplementary Estimates is that a previous budget or off-cycle measure has not yet received the supporting policy or program approval.

There are also certain statutory authorities, often small, which may not be included for information in the Estimates but which are reported in the Public Accounts.

Note that the sum of the values in the first three columns represent a forecast of total budgetary authorities available by department, consistent with the concepts and definitions applied in the Public Accounts of Canada Volume II Section 1 Table 5.

4. Unspent/carried forward

This column is the forecasted difference between the forecast of potential spending authorities for 2018–19 (authorities from the first three columns) and anticipated spending over that period (net expenditures in the fifth column).

Specifically, the Estimates show the maximum amount of appropriated funding that can be spent at a point in time, while the budget projects the amount of spending that will likely be spent over the entire course of the fiscal year.

The budget forecast recognizes that some amount of authorities included in the Estimates will remain unspent at the end of the fiscal year. These unspent amounts are either carried forward automatically into subsequent years or they ‘lapse’. Amounts that technically lapse in one year are often spent in a subsequent year as they are reprofiled and included in a future Estimates.

Lapses are influenced by many factors, such as contract and project delays, uncommitted authorities in Treasury Board managed central votes, as well as departmental funds management practices to ensure that spending does not exceed the authorities approved by Parliament.

In terms of Public Accounts Volume II Section 1 Table 5, this column aligns with the sum of ‘Available for use in subsequent years’ and ‘Lapsed’.

5. Net expenditures

Expenditures are largely funded through voted appropriations and statutory authorities, and to a limited extent through departmental revenues. In the Estimates, authorities and expenditures are presented on a “net” basis, i.e. excluding expenditures expected to be funded by departmental revenues, in order to reflect the expected impact on the Consolidated Revenue Fund.

Figures in this column are presented on the same modified cash basis of accounting as the Estimates, and represent a forecast of the corresponding amount in Public Accounts Volume II Section 1 Table 5.

6. Netted revenues

Certain expenditures are funded through departmental revenues. Accrual expenses in the budget and the Public Accounts are on a ‘gross’ basis, so revenues that are netted against expenditures in the Estimates are added back in order to arrive at forecasted accrual expenses. Summing the figures in the Net expenditures column with the Netted revenues column would yield ‘Total gross expenditures’ on a modified cash basis of accounting. Net expenditures, Netted revenues and Total gross expenditures are reported by department in Public Accounts Volume II Section 1 Table 3.

7. Tax credits & repayments

This column captures expenditures forecasted to be delivered through the tax system, but not shown in the Estimates. Costs related to the Canada Child Benefit are the largest component in this column (shown in the Major transfers row). Tax credits and repayments that are considered direct program expenses are shown in the Canada Revenue Agency row, and include incentives for research and development, the Canada Workers Benefit as well as refundable tax credits.

Parliament does not authorize annual spending for such tax expenditures and refundable tax credits, which are instead legislated through the Income Tax Act. These expenditures are reported in Public Accounts Volume II Section 1 Table 3a. In addition, the Department of Finance’s annual Report on Federal Tax Expenditures includes both historical and forecasted values by program.

8. Accrual & consolidation adjustments

This column captures other differences in accounting basis and scope between the Estimates and the Budget/Public Accounts of Canada.

The Budget is presented on an accrual basis whereas the Estimates are presented on a modified cash basis. As a result, certain items such as acquisitions of tangible capital assets will be reported differently between the two publications. Under accrual accounting, the cost to acquire an asset is amortized over the expected life of the asset, whereas under modified cash accounting, the cost is recognized as disbursements are made. For example, if a building is acquired that has a useful life of 30 years, then accrual accounting will see the cost amortized over the 30-year life of the asset, while cash accounting will portray the cost only in the first few years when the payments are made.

Other examples of accrual adjustments include bad debt expenses, operating expenses and public debt charges related to pensions and benefits for which cash disbursements are expected to be made in subsequent years but for which expenses are accrued in the current year.

All costs related to consolidated specified purpose accounts, and certain costs related to consolidated Crown corporations, are also included here, including some amounts announced in Budget 2018. The most important is Employment Insurance (EI) benefits. Most EI costs are paid directly out of the Employment Insurance Operating Account, rather than a departmental appropriation, and are therefore not specifically included in Estimates, though they are included in the budget. Similarly, expenses of consolidated Crown corporations that are funded from their own revenues are also captured here.

A final consolidation adjustment included is the reversal of expenses that are internal to government, such as when one department pays another to provide it with a service.

This column represents a forecast consistent with a group of adjustments reported in Public Accounts Volume II Section 1 Table 3a.

9. Budget expense forecast

This column represents final external expenses on an accrual basis, inclusive of all budget and off-cycle measures outlined in the budget.

4.3 Sensitivity of Fiscal Projections to Economic Shocks

Changes in economic assumptions affect the projections for revenues and expenses. The following tables illustrate the sensitivity of the budgetary balance to a number of economic shocks:

These sensitivities are generalized rules of thumb that assume any decrease in economic activity is proportional across income and expenditure components, and are meant to provide a broad illustration of the impact of economic shocks on the outlook for the budgetary balance. Actual economic shocks may have different fiscal impacts. For example, they may be concentrated in specific sectors of the economy or cause different responses in key economic variables (e.g. GDP inflation and CPI inflation may have different responses to a given shock).

Table A2.13
Estimated Impact of a One-Year, 1-Percentage-Point Decrease in Real GDP Growth on Federal Revenues, Expenses and Budgetary Balance
billions of dollars
  Year 1 Year 2 Year 5
Federal revenues      
  Tax revenues      
    Personal income tax -3.3 -3.1 -3.5
    Corporate income tax -0.4 -0.5 -0.5
    Goods and Services Tax -0.4 -0.4 -0.4
    Other -0.2 -0.2 -0.2
    Total tax revenues -4.2 -4.2 -4.6
  Employment Insurance premiums 0.2 0.5 0.6
  Other revenues -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
Total budgetary revenues -4.2 -3.7 -4.1
Federal expenses
  Major transfers to persons
    Elderly benefits 0.0 0.0 0.0
    Employment Insurance benefits 0.8 0.8 0.5
    Children’s benefits 0.0 0.1 0.1
    Total 0.8 0.9 0.6
  Other program expenses -0.2 -0.3 -0.4
  Public debt charges 0.0 0.2 0.6
Total expenses 0.7 0.8 0.7
Budgetary balance -4.8 -4.5 -4.9
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

A 1-percentage-point decrease in real GDP growth proportional across income and expenditure components reduces the budgetary balance by $4.8 billion in the first year, $4.5 billion in the second year and $4.9 billion in the fifth year (Table A2.13).

Table A2.14
Estimated Impact of a One-Year, 1-Percentage-Point Decrease in GDP Inflation on Federal Revenues, Expenses and Budgetary Balance
billions of dollars
  Year 1 Year 2 Year 5
Federal revenues      
  Tax revenues      
    Personal income tax -2.5 -2.1 -2.1
    Corporate income tax -0.4 -0.5 -0.5
    Goods and Services Tax -0.4 -0.4 -0.4
    Other -0.2 -0.2 -0.2
    Total tax revenues -3.5 -3.1 -3.3
  Employment Insurance premiums -0.1 -0.1 -0.2
  Other revenues -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
Total budgetary revenues -3.7 -3.4 -3.6
Federal expenses      
  Major transfers to persons      
    Elderly benefits -0.4 -0.6 -0.7
    Employment Insurance benefits -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
    Children’s benefits 0.0 -0.1 -0.3
    Total -0.5 -0.8 -1.1
  Other program expenses -0.5 -0.7 -1.3
  Public debt charges -0.6 0.1 0.2
Total expenses -1.5 -1.4 -2.1
Budgetary balance -2.1 -2.0 -1.4
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

A 1-percentage-point decrease in nominal GDP growth proportional across income and expenditure components resulting solely from lower GDP inflation (assuming that the CPI moves in line with GDP inflation) lowers the budgetary balance by $2.1 billion in the first year, $2.0 billion in the second year and $1.4 billion in the fifth year (Table A2.14).

Table A2.15
Estimated Impact of a Sustained 100-Basis-Point Increase in All Interest Rates on Federal Revenues, Expenses and Budgetary Balance
billions of dollars
Year 1 Year 2 Year 5
Federal revenues 1.4 2.0 2.8
Federal expenses 2.0 3.4 5.6
Budgetary balance -0.6 -1.5 -2.8
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

An increase in interest rates decreases the budgetary balance by $0.6 billion in the first year, $1.5 billion in the second year and $2.8 billion in the fifth year (Table A2.15). The decline stems entirely from increased expenses associated with public debt charges. The impact on debt charges rises through time as longer-term debt matures and is refinanced at higher rates. Moderating the overall impact is an increase in revenues associated with the increase in the rate of return on the Government’s interest-bearing assets, which are recorded as part of other revenues. The impacts of changes in interest rates on public sector pension and benefit expenses are excluded from the sensitivity analysis.

4.4 Update on Allocation of Infrastructure Investments

In Budgets 2016 and 2017, the Government laid out its plan to invest more than $180 billion in infrastructure over twelve years. This plan is underway and is supporting new infrastructure projects and economic activity across Canada. To date, over 7,800 projects, with combined investments of over $32 billion, have been approved for communities across the country. The Government is also finalizing negotiations with the provinces and territories to provide long-term funding through integrated bilateral agreements. These agreements will support new investments in public transit; green infrastructure; community, culture and recreation infrastructure; and rural and northern communities.

The funding profiles for a number of federal infrastructure programs have been updated for Budget 2018 to reflect when the Government expects to receive claims from recipients. The Government is also working to improve financial reporting and accountability under its infrastructure programs so that it is clear when projects get underway, when costs are incurred, and when federal funds flow to other levels of government.

It is expected that further adjustments to these allocations will be made over time to ensure infrastructure funding is available to other jurisdictions when it is needed.

Table A2.16
Updated Allocation of Legacy Infrastructure Programs (Pre-2016)
millions of dollars
  Prior years 2017–2018   2018–2019   2019–2020   2020–2021   2021–2022   2022–2023   Future years Total
Amount as of Budget 2017 7,792 1,456 1,821 2,190 2,019 2,168 2,034 1,711 21,189
Budget 2018 Allocation 5,916 1,112 1,532 1,847 2,165 2,441 2,056 4,120 21,189
Reprofile -1,875 -344 -288 -344 146 273 23 2,409 0
Table A2.17
Budget 2016 Infrastructure Investments – Updated Profile
millions of dollars
  2016–2017   2017–2018   2018–2019   2019–2020   2020–2021   2021–2022   2022–2023   2023–2024   Total
Amount as of Budget 2017 3,368 5,992 3,315 877 749 84 10 3 14,398
Budget 2018 Allocation
Public Transit 45 210 683 1,452 1,010 0 0 0 3,400
Green Infrastructure 356 773 1,044 1,534 1,252 85 10 3 5,057
Social Infrastructure 1,638 1,694 53 36 20 0 0 0 3,441
Strategic Investments in Post-Secondary Institutions 749 1,001 250 0 0 0 0 0 2,000
Rural Broadband 6 81 253 108 52 0 0 0 500
Total Budget 2018 Allocation 2,794 3,759 2,283 3,130 2,334 85 10 3 14,398
Reprofile -575 -2,232 -1,032 2,253 1,585 1 0 0 0
Table A2.18
Budget 2017 Investing in Canada Plan – Updated Profile
millions of dollars
  2017–
2018  
2018–
2019  
2019–
2020  
2020–
2021  
2021–
2022  
5-year
total
2022–
2023  
2023–
2024  
2024–
2025  
2025–
2026  
2026–
2027  
2027–
2028  
Total
Total Amount Provisioned as of Budget 2017 645 4,049 4,838 5,400 6,183 21,115 7,911 8,885 9,764 10,733 11,132 11,207 81,200
Public Transit - Budget 2017 Allocation 164 1,100 1,100 1,200 1,400 4,964 2,520 2,804 3,189 3,748 3,996 4,078 25,300
Public Transit Bilateral Agreements 19 455 708 821 1,177 3,181 1,425 1,925 2,328 3,448 3,529 4,275 20,110
Canada Infrastructure Bank 149 123 210 131 242 855 510 586 631 689 839 889 5,000
Smart Cities Challenge 4 1 4 9 11 29 21 11 18 8 13 0 100
Other horizontal initiatives1 9 16 21 21 21 86 4 0 0 0 0 0 90
  Subtotal-Budget 2018 Allocation 182 595 943 981 1,451 4,152 1,960 2,521 2,977 4,145 4,381 5,164 25,300
Reprofile of Public Transit Allocation 17 -505 -157 -219 51 -813 -560 -282 -212 397 385 1,086 0
Rural and Northern - Budget 2017 Allocation 0 150 150 150 200 650 200 200 200 250 250 250 2,000
Rural and Northern Communities Bilateral Agreements 2 15 23 61 99 200 138 196 238 441 345 443 2,000
  Subtotal-Budget 2018 Allocation 2 15 23 61 99 200 138 196 238 441 345 443 2,000
Reprofile of Rural and Northern Allocation 2 -135 -127 -89 -101 -450 -62 -4 38 191 95 193 0
Green Infrastructure - Budget 2017 Allocation 21 999 1,199 1,400 1,731 5,351 2,200 2,498 2,794 3,000 3,028 3,030 21,900
Green Infrastructure Bilateral Agreements 9 156 143 557 475 1,341 749 937 1,134 1,488 1,626 1,940 9,215
Canada Infrastructure Bank 0 138 225 296 457 1,116 525 601 646 704 704 704 5,000
Smart Cities Challenge 0 5 4 9 11 29 21 11 18 8 13 0 100
Disaster Mitigation and Adaptation 0 45 100 100 200 445 200 250 250 255 300 300 2,000
Climate Adaptation and Resilience 21 33 35 35 34 157 21 21 21 21 21 21 281
Smart Grid and Clean Electricity 0 25 25 25 25 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Emerging Renewable Energy Technologies 0 25 50 50 50 175 25 0 0 0 0 0 200
Reducing the Reliance of Rural and Remote Communities on Diesel 0 22 26 46 47 141 47 32 0 0 0 0 220
Electric Vehicles and Alternative Fuels 0 30 30 30 30 120 0 0 0 0 0 0 120
Energy Efficient Building Codes 0 20 22 24 22 87 26 25 25 20 0 0 182
Improving Indigenous Communities 0 175 200 225 200 800 200 200 200 200 200 200 2,000
Arctic Energy Fund 0 2 4 12 20 38 28 40 48 86 70 90 400
Reserved Green Funding 0 0 0 0 176 176 276 276 325 320 320 308 2,000
Other horizontal initiatives1 0 24 19 19 18 81 1 0 0 0 0 0 82
  Subtotal-Budget 2018 Allocation 30 700 884 1,428 1,765 4,806 2,118 2,392 2,666 3,102 3,253 3,563 21,900
Reprofile of Green Allocation 9 -300 -315 28 33 -544 -82 -106 -128 101 225 533 0
Trade and Transportation - Budget 2017 Allocation 461 617 700 800 884 3,462 920 978 1,036 1,091 1,077 1,083 10,100
Modernizing Transportation 11 16 16 17 17 76 1 0 0 0 0 0 77
Connecting Communities by Rail and Water2 300 309 324 87 100 1,120 104 87 100 96 82 89 1,925
National Trade Corridors Fund 31 78 156 169 184 618 230 230 230 230 230 230 2,000
Climate Risk Assessments 3 3 3 3 3 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 16
Canada Infrastructure Bank 0 0 0 234 442 676 599 674 719 778 778 778 5,000
Information System 5 5 5 5 5 23 5 5 5 5 5 5 50
Oceans Protection Plan2 152 246 236 230 203 1,067 9 9 9 9 9 9 1,325
Heavy-duty Vehicles and Off-Road Regulations 1 2 2 2 2 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 16
  Less: Funds in the fiscal framework and other revenues -42 -42 -42 -22 -61 -208 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -17 -309
  Subtotal-Budget 2018 Allocation 461 617 700 724 894 3,396 931 989 1,047 1,102 1,088 1,094 10,100
Reprofile of Trade and Transportation Allocation 0 0 0 -76 11 -65 11 11 11 11 11 11 0
Social Infrastructure - Budget 2017 Allocation -1 1,183 1,688 1,850 1,968 6,688 2,072 2,405 2,545 2,643 2,781 2,766 21,900
Early Learning and Child Care 0 540 545 550 550 2,185 725 775 775 800 870 870 7,000
Canada Cultural Spaces Fund 0 30 30 30 30 120 30 30 30 30 30 30 300
Enabling Accessibility Fund 0 8 8 8 8 31 8 8 8 8 8 8 77
Cultural and Recreational Bilateral Agreements 1 8 15 41 67 132 93 132 160 286 233 310 1,347
Community Educational Infrastructure 0 4 4 4 8 20 8 8 8 12 12 12 80
Home Care Infrastructure 0 200 250 250 300 1,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,000
Smart Cities Challenge 0 5 4 9 11 29 21 11 18 8 13 0 100
Improving Indigenous Communities 0 175 200 225 200 800 200 200 200 200 200 200 2,000
FPT Housing Partnership Framework 0 0 355 460 530 1,345 675 810 975 1,160 1,330 1,445 7,740
National Housing Co-Investment Fund 0 169 333 383 447 1,332 461 628 677 687 675 674 5,134
Other National Housing Strategy Initiatives 12 163 287 316 346 1,124 347 349 354 354 359 339 3,226
  Less: Funds in the fiscal framework and other revenues -13 -76 -255 -321 -404 -1,069 -472 -629 -786 -919 -1,055 -1,174 -6,103
  Subtotal-Budget 2018 Allocation 0 1,226 1,776 1,955 2,093 7,049 2,096 2,321 2,420 2,625 2,675 2,713 21,900
Reprofile of Social Infrastructure Allocation 1 43 88 104 125 361 25 -84 -125 -18 -106 -53 0
Grand Total - Budget 2018 Allocation 674 3,153 4,326 5,149 6,301 19,603 7,242 8,419 9,348 11,414 11,743 12,977 81,200
Total Reprofile of Budget 2017 Infrastructure Allocation 29 -896 -512 -251 118 -1,512 -669 -465 -416 681 611 1,770 0
1 Includes funding allocations to support other initiatives such as Innovation Superclusters, Women in Construction Fund and Indigenous Capacity Building.
2 Connecting Communities by Rail and the Ocean Protection Plan include funding to support capital projects where costs are amortized over the useful life of the asset. The 11-year totals include the remaining amortization amounts beyond 2027-28.
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